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Pakistan
's Assurance of Future Influence
The Pakistani intelligence service has excellent relations with all
groups. In the constant fear that Pakistan's archrival India could gain a
foothold in Afghanistan and thus have Pakistan in its pincers, so to
speak, the ISI supports everything that could preserve and strengthen
its own influence in Kabul. And because many ISI strategists cannot
believe that the Americans will remain in Afghanistan for long (after
all, Washington has already announced the beginning of its withdrawal),
the Taliban remains Pakistan's assurance of future influence in Kabul.
This reasoning is particularly clear in the Afghanistan war logs.
According to the warnings of new attacks and suicide bombings by the
enemy, ISI envoys were present when Gulbuddin Hekmatyar's commanders met
for a war council in northern Waziristan.
A document dated Sept. 1, 2007 reports on an imminent attack by a
group of Hekmatyar's fighters on one of the Allies' forward operating
bases in Kunar, the Afghan province bordering Peshawar in Pakistan. The
elaborate and carefully planned attack was to involve four suicide
bombers, and the Americans' source even knew where they were from: one
Pakistani, one Arab and two Afghans. The plans also included a rocket
attack and artillery fire. Finally, foot soldiers were to storm the
outpost and take enemy soldiers prisoner, if possible.
The Pakistani intelligence service supplied Chinese ammunition to the
insurgents. The ISI, as partial financier of the operation, wanted to
retain control and thus intended to send an officer to observe the
attack and advise the fighters.
Nothing Works Without The ISI
Pakistan's western Balochistan Province is believed to be the area
where Taliban leader Mullah Omar spends most of his time. The Shura, the
Taliban's decision-making body, meets once a month in the city of
Quetta, or at least it did in the first few years after the Taliban fled
Afghanistan. Some of the documents, such as the Aug. 16, 2006, warning
of an impending attack, even claim that bin Laden himself has attended
this meeting. The American intelligence gatherers, skeptical about this
claim, classified the document as 3F, which means that it does not
require verification.
A man who undoubtedly attended the Shura was Mullah Baradar, a
brother-in-law of Mullah Omar and the former Taliban military chief. The
documents describe Baradar as the chairman of the Shura, and state that
he monitors the financing, procurement and distribution of weapons,
ammunition and other materials. As it happens, Baradar is also a
confidant of the ISI. He designed the Taliban's strategy and, according
to the war logs, is also responsible for the use of suicide bombings.
Why, then, would Pakistani security forces have arrested Baradar on Feb.
8, 2010?
Many observers believe that the Pakistani security forces struck after
the mullah had begun communicating with Afghan President Hamid Karzai.
If this interpretation is correct, then the arrest of Baradar
constituted a clear signal to the Taliban and their allies that nothing
works without the ISI.
Anyone reading through the material already comes away with this
impression. In document after document, it is the ISI that controls the
course of the war, and suicide bombers are apparently one of its
preferred weapons. In fact, it is the ISI itself that often deploys
them, as a threat warning note dated Oct. 30, 2008 indicates. The note
reads: "According to a source (C6) AQ (al-Qaeda) and ISI formed an
attack group that was called 'General.' There are six suicide bombers in
the group, two of them are Chinese, two of them are Uzbek and the
others are Arab. The suicide bombers intruded into Khost (province) ...
."
The ISI also issues precise orders to murder certain individuals.
According to the documents, Afghan President Hamid Karzai is at the top
of its hit list. Some of the documents are shockingly succinct and to
the point. According to a warning dated August 21, 2008, for example, an
ISI colonel "had directed Talib Maulawi Izzatullah to see that Karzai
was assassinated. Izzatullah assigned Abdulbari from Sarobi District to
assassinate Karzai in a suicide mission at the Presidential Palace."
Archenemy India a Frequent Target
Pakistan's archenemy India is mentioned again and again. According to
the documents, the intelligence service instructed its Afghan allies to
kill Indians who worked in Afghanistan. Their efforts apparently did
not go unrewarded, with the ISI promising fighters in the Haqqani
network large sums of money for killing Indians. The ISI's other
preferred targets included all Indian consulates in Afghanistan, roads
built by Indian workers and a telephone network installed by Indians.
There is only one warning about a planned attack that does not include
any indication of the ISI's involvement, this time on the Indian embassy
in Kabul - which did in fact happen, on July 7, 2008, claiming 58
lives. That warning came from intelligence agents within the Polish ISAF
contingent.
The documents also contain information about attacks ordered on
strategic targets, like dams, key roads and the Kabul power supply. Some
of the plans the intelligence service apparently had developed were
relatively extreme. One report, for example, states that the ISI planned
to have its agents poison drinking water and alcoholic beverages sold
on the black market. All attacks, including the suicide bombings on
foreign troops, came with financial incentives, although the reports
vary widely on the level of compensation. For example, the ISI was
allegedly willing to pay between $15,000 and $30,000 to fighters in the
Haqqani network for each attack on Indians.
Former ISI Chief Plays Key Role in Logs
Pakistan's former intelligence chief Hamid Gul plays a special role
in the documents. Gul, a former army general who headed the ISI from
1987 to 1989, was one of the key supporters of the mujahedeen when they
were fighting the Soviet occupation force in Afghanistan. When speaking
with the Western media, Gul later proved to be a propagandist of sorts
for the Taliban and someone who could easily see himself sympathizing
with their struggle against the Americans. The United States accuses him
of maintaining ties to al-Qaida.
In the newly leaked documents, Gul is also portrayed as an ally and,
in one case, even as "a leader" of the Taliban. According to a threat
assessment dated Jan. 14, 2008, he coordinated plans to kidnap United
Nations employees on Afghanistan's Highway No. 1 between Kabul and
Jalalabad. Some 15 to 20 Taliban fighters were to stop the U.N. vehicle
and threaten the passengers with their weapons. There was to be no
mercy. As the report reads, if the Taliban encountered resistance during
the kidnapping, the hostage-takers "will use the AK47 guns to fight the
resistance or kill the hostages."
According to the reports, the retired general continued to supply his
protégés with weapons. One source mentions that Gul had organized a
convoy of 65 trucks filled with ammunition for the Taliban, although the
authors of the report do not completely trust the source. Another
report mentions that the ISI sent 1,000 motorcycles to the Haqqanis and
delivered 7,000 weapons to Kunar Province, including Kalashnikovs,
mortars and Strella missiles.
Skepticism over Veracity of Some Documents
But it is precisely the especially transparent attempts to portray
the Taliban's supporters at the ISI as the most sinister of monsters
that give rise to skepticism about the documents.
On May 29, 2006, for example, the Afghan intelligence service reported
on an ISI campaign to burn down Afghan schools. Was this truly the work
of a generally secular military, or was the campaign in fact the
brainchild of Taliban religious fanatics?
And the claims about the ISI's alleged recruitment of children as
suicide bombers? According to the documents, the child bombers were sent
out with explosive vests attached to their bodies, and the explosives
were then detonated remotely. Was this also the work of the Pakistani
intelligence service, which was supposedly being overrun by domestic and
foreign candidates for martyrdom?
Did the ISI truly ask women to hide explosive vests under their
burqas, and is it true that ISI agents tenderly concealed an explosive
device inside a gold-colored, fake Koran? These and other claims appear
in this collection of reports assembled by the Americans. But are they
true? The truth is that not all documents from this treasure trove are
beyond any doubt.
Intellpuke: You can read this article by Spiegel journalists
Matthias Gebauer, John Goetz, Hans Hoyng, Susanne Koelbel, Marcel
Rosenbach and Gregor Peter Schmitz in context here:
www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,708887,00.html
This article was translated from the German for Spiegel by Christopher Sultan.
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